
The Iran war is "testing the resilience of the global economy," and is set to dampen economic growth this year, the Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development (OECD) said in a report released on Thursday.
Global growth is forecast to slow to 2.9% this year before edging back up to 3.0% in 2027, according to the OECD.
The unpredictable trajectory of the Middle East conflict was driving up costs and dampening demand, offsetting the positive impetus from investment in new technologies and the momentum carried over from the previous year, it said.
The blockade of the Strait of Hormuz and damage to energy infrastructure had caused a sharp rise in energy prices and disrupted supplies of other key materials such as fertilizer, according to the OECD.
The scale and duration of the conflict were highly uncertain, but a prolonged period of higher energy prices would significantly increase costs for businesses and consumer prices, with negative consequences for growth, the OECD said.
The "evolving conflict [...] generates significant uncertainty around global demand," it said.
In the US, growth is expected to slow from 2.0% this year to 1.7% next year, the OECD forecast, as strong investment in artificial intelligence is gradually offset by a slowdown in income growth and consumer spending.
In the eurozone, the OECD expects growth to slow to 0.8% this year before recovering to 1.2% in 2027, boosted by higher defence spending.
In China, growth is projected to fall to 4.4% in 2026 and 4.3% in 2027.
The conflict was also weighing on the growth of the German economy, which the OECD said would grow by only 0.8% this year - 0.2 percentage points less than forecast in its previous economic outlook in December.
Growth of 1.5% is still expected for 2027, unchanged from the previous forecast.
LATEST POSTS
- 1
An Extended time of Self-Reflection: Self-awareness through Journaling - 2
‘Extraordinary’ Iron Age war trumpet uncovered in England - 3
Jason Kelce opens about wife Kylie Kelce's past pregnancy loss - 4
Vote In favor of Your Favored IT Administration - 5
Step by step instructions to Recognize the Distinction Between Lab Jewels and Precious stone Simulants
Go With The Breeze: Grand Paragliding Spots On the planet
Volkswagen Plant Could Pivot From Building Cars to Supporting Iron Dome Systems
The breakout star of NASA's Artemis 2 moon mission isn't an astronaut — it's the space toilet
Alix Earle built trust by sharing her acne woes. Now her skin care line is raising questions.
Want to read more in 2026? Here's how to revive your love of books
I watched more than 500 new movies this year. These are the 25 best ones.
It Shouldn’t Be Here: Rescuers Race to Save Whale Stranded in Rare Spot
Vaccine committee votes to scrap universal hepatitis B shots for newborns despite outcry from children’s health experts
Social Skylines d: A Survey of \Inside and out Social Experiences\ Language Learning Book













